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Algorithmic Modeling of ESG Contingencies Using Intelligent Analytics and Predictive Parameterization of Corporate Risk

Algorithmic Modeling of ESG Contingencies Using Intelligent Analytics and Predictive Parameterization of Corporate Risk
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Author(s): Jose De Jesus Reyes-Sánchez (TECNM Instituto Tecnologico Superior De Fresnillo, Mexico)
Copyright: 2026
Pages: 32
Source title: Data-Driven ESG Strategy Implementation Through Business Intelligence
Source Author(s)/Editor(s): Markos Komodromos (University of Nicosia, Cyprus), Lambrini Seremeti (Agricultural University of Athens, Greece), Lazaros Anastasiadis (University of Crete, Greece), Panagiotis Liargovas (University of Peloponnese, Greece)and Sofia Anastasiadou (Univerity of Western Macedonia, Greece)
DOI: 10.4018/979-8-3373-5142-1.ch006

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Abstract

This study presents a hybrid intelligent analytics architecture that merges low-orbit satellite data, IoT sensors, multilingual digital narratives, and extended financial statements using interoperable ontologies to model ESG contingencies and parameterize corporate risk. Deep neural networks are combined with hierarchical Bayesian graphs and Shapley explainability metrics, allowing environmental, social, and reputational incidents to be anticipated with greater sensitivity than traditional approaches. The responsible algorithmic governance framework, underpinned by ethical licensing and continuous audits, ensures transparency and multi-group fairness, balancing intellectual protection and accountability. Case studies in the energy, financial, and logistics sectors show substantial reductions in prediction errors, capital buffers, and stock market drawdowns, while strengthening supply chain resilience and management acceptance.

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