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A Unified Approach for Taxonomy-Based Technology Forecasting

A Unified Approach for Taxonomy-Based Technology Forecasting
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Author(s): Andreas Henschel (Masdar Institute of Science and Technology, UAE), Erik Casagrande (Masdar Institute of Science and Technology, UAE), Wei Lee Woon (Masdar Institute of Science and Technology, UAE), Isam Janajreh (Masdar Institute of Science and Technology, UAE)and Stuart Madnick (Massachusetts Institute of Technology, USA)
Copyright: 2012
Pages: 20
Source title: Business Intelligence Applications and the Web: Models, Systems and Technologies
Source Author(s)/Editor(s): Marta E. Zorrilla (University of Cantabria, Spain), Jose-Norberto Mazón (University of Alicante, Spain), Óscar Ferrández (University of Alicante, Spain), Irene Garrigós (University of Alicante, Spain), Florian Daniel (University of Trento, Italy)and Juan Trujillo (University of Alicante, Spain)
DOI: 10.4018/978-1-61350-038-5.ch008

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Abstract

For decision makers and researchers working in a technical domain, understanding the state of their area of interest is of the highest importance. For this reason, we consider in this chapter, a novel framework for Web-based technology forecasting using bibliometrics (i.e. the analysis of information from trends and patterns of scientific publications). The proposed framework consists of a few conceptual stages based on a data acquisition process from bibliographic online repositories: extraction of domain-relevant keywords, the generation of taxonomy of the research field of interests and the development of early growth indicators which helps to find interesting technologies in their first phase of development. To provide a concrete application domain for developing and testing our tools, we conducted a case study in the field of renewable energy and in particular one of its subfields: Waste-to-Energy (W2E). The results on this particular research domain confirm the benefit of our approach.

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