Offender Mobility and Crime Pattern Formation from First Principles

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Author(s): P. Jeffrey Brantingham (University of California, Los Angeles, USA)and George Tita (University of California, Irvine, USA)
Copyright: 2008
Pages: 16
Source title: Artificial Crime Analysis Systems: Using Computer Simulations and Geographic Information Systems
Source Author(s)/Editor(s): Lin Liu (University of Cincinnati, USA)and John Eck (University of Cincinnati, USA)
DOI: 10.4018/978-1-59904-591-7.ch010

Keywords: Digital Crime & Forensics / Information Science Reference / IT Security and Ethics / Security & Forensics

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Abstract

Criminal opportunity in most cases is constrained by the fact that motivated offenders and potential targets or victims are not found at the same place at the same time. This ecological fact necessitates that offenders, potential victims, or both move into spatial positions that make crimes physically possible. This chapter develops a series of simple mathematical and agent-based models looking at the relationship between basic movement decisions and emergent crime patterns in two-dimensional environments. It is shown that there may be substantial regularities to crime patterns, including the tendency for crime to form discrete hotspots that arise solely from different movement strategies deployed by offenders.

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Offender Mobility and Crime Pattern Formation from First Principles

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