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Predictive Modelling for Financial Fraud Detection Using Data Analytics: A Gradient-Boosting Decision Tree
Abstract
Financial fraud remains one of the most discussed topics in literature. The financial scandals of Enron, WorldCom, Qwest, Global Crossing, and Tyco resulted in approximately 460 billion dollars of loss. The detection of financial fraud, therefore, has become a critical task for financial practitioners. Three factors determine the likelihood of fraud occurrence, including pressure, opportunity, and rationalization. The core of these factors lies in people's beliefs and behaviour. Due to the unpredictability and uncertainty in fraudsters' incentives and techniques, fraud detection requires a skill set that encompasses both diligence and judgment. Big data technologies have had a huge impact on a wide variety of industries because they tend to be ubiquitous, starting in the last decade and continuing today.
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