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Exploring the Potential and Future Directions of Micro-Credentials Through the Scenario Archetypes Method
Abstract
Micro-credentials have emerged as a flexible, skill-based alternative to traditional degrees, meeting the demands of modern education and employment sectors. Using the Four Archetypes Scenario model—continuous growth, collapse, disciplined society, and transformation—this chapter explores their future in higher education. In the continuous growth scenario, micro-credentials integrate with higher education, driving curriculum evolution and industry partnerships. The collapse scenario warns of institutional failures to adapt and employer skepticism, threatening micro-credentials' value. In the transformation scenario, micro-credentials are widely accepted, reshaping higher education by promoting flexibility, upskilling, and lifelong learning. This analysis aims to provide insights into micro-credentials' evolving role in the education landscape, offering a roadmap for their sustainable integration into higher education and industry.
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