Assumptional Analysis: The Key Role of Assumptions

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Copyright: 2024
Pages: 21
Source title: Tools, Exercises, and Strategies for Coping With Complexity
Source Author(s)/Editor(s): Rune Storesund (Storesund Consulting, Kensington, USA)and Ian I. Mitroff (Mitroff Crisis Management, Berkeley, USA)
DOI: 10.4018/978-1-6684-6563-9.ch005

Keywords: Business & Management / Curriculum Development and Instructional Design / Information Science Reference / Risk Management & Analysis

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Abstract

The authors present a general method known as assumptional analysis for uncovering and analyzing key assumptions. Assumptions are plotted on a two-dimensional chart. The horizontal dimension ranged from those assumptions on the left that were relatively unimportant to those on the right that were extremely important to a strategy's success. The vertical dimension ranged from those assumptions on the top that were felt to be certain to those on the bottom that were felt to be uncertain. They were as likely to be false as they were to be true.

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