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Beijing's Strategic Calculus: Sino-Philippine Relations and Power Dynamics in the South China Sea, 2023
Abstract
This chapter provides a detailed analysis of the complex dynamics in the South China Sea, focusing on the evolving strategic relationships between China, the Philippines, and the United States. It examines the strategic motivations behind China's naval expansion and its implications for regional security, highlighting the geostrategic significance of the South China Sea as a critical maritime crossroads with profound impacts on global trade and military strategy. The chapter discusses the shift in the Philippines' stance towards a more assertive approach in its South China Sea policy under the influence of strengthened U.S.-Philippines defence ties, marked by expanded military cooperation and the bolstering of the Philippines' military capabilities. It also delves into the broader context of Sino-American rivalry, the role of ASEAN, legal frameworks, and the potential for future tensions and alignments. The analysis underscores the importance of diplomacy, international law, and regional cooperation in navigating the challenges in this pivotal maritime domain.
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